
Flow Chart of the Team’s Systematic Search for Longitudinal Samples. CREDIT: Liscoïnii et al. (Nature Human Behaviour2025).
PAST PSYCHOLOGY Research Suggests That Some People Are More Prone Than Owke Risks in Ultractions, Such As Investing Money in Risky Business Ventures, Consumer Addictive Substances or Leaving A Secure Job Without Any Sure Alternative Prospects. OVER the Past Decades, Psychologists and Behavioral Scientists have Been Trying to Understand to Which People’s Willingness to Take Risks (IE, Risk Preference) Is Stable and Coherent, Which Means That Tends to Remain Time and Across Different Contexts.
Many recent studies have set out to investigate the stability of risk preference and the extntent to which can be considered a coherent personality trait. Yet, The Findings Collected So Far Were Mixed, Which Has Made It Difficult to Reach Definitive Conclusion.
Researchers at the University of Basel in Switzerland Recently Reviewed Several Past Studies Exploing the Stability of Risk Preference in the Hope of Better Understanding The Nature of This Widiely Investigated Trait. Their Analyses, published in Nature Human BehaviourShowed That There is Significant Varability across existent literature, Both in Terms of the Measures of Risk Prevention Used, The Sample of Participants Recrured and the Types of Risks That Were Assessed.
“Understanding WHETHER RISK PREFECT REPRESENTS A STABLE, COHERENT TRAIT IS CENTRAL TO EFFORTS AIMED AT EXPLAINING, PREDICTING AND PREVENTING RISK-REFLATED BEHAVORS,” WROTE ALEXANDRA BENUEIII, YUNRUI LIU AND THEIR COLLEAGUES IN THEIR PAPER. “We Help Characterize the Nature of the Construct By Adopting a Systematic Review And Individual Participant Date Meta-Aalytic Approache to Summarize The TEMPORAL STABILITY OF 358 RISK PRETENCE MASSURES.”
As parts of their meta-analytis, The Researchers Reviewed 33 Past Longitudinal Studies, Which Invossed 57 Samples, for Total of 579,114 Participants. To compare these studies, They Divided the Risk Preference Measures Used by the Teams Involved into Three Broad Categories, as the demographic characteristics of participants.
“Our Findings Reveal Noteworthy Heterogeneity Across and Within Measter Categories (Propensity, Frequency and Behavior), Domains (for Example, Investment, Occupational and Alcohol Consumption) and Sample Characteristics (for Example, Age),” Wrote Bagaïni, Liu and Their Colleagues.
“Specifically, While Self-Reported Propensity and Frequency Measures of Risk Preference Higher Degree of Stability Than Behavioral Measures, These Patterns are moderated by Domain and Age.”
LEAl, Liu and Their Colleagues also conducted an analytisis assessing the defferent measures of risk preferences used in Past Studies Aligned (IE, Their Convergent Validity). Their Findings Showed That Their Convergent Validity Was Low, Meaning That the Measures Employed in Past Literature Did Not Necessary Capture The Single Trait But Instead Different Types of Tendencies to Take Risks.
“Our results raise concierns about the coherence and measurement of the risk preference construct,” Wrote Baganii, Liu and Their Colleagues.
Overall, this recent meta-aalysis highlights the inconsistencies in how risk preference was measred and conceptualized in Previous Research. The Findings of the Team’s Analyses Could Guide Future Studies Focusing on People’s Risk Preferences, Potentially Prompting The Development of More Precise Definitions of Risk Preference and More Reliable Measures That Could Be Appliced Across A Wide Range of Contexts.
More information:
Alexandra Liscoïni et al, the Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses of the Storm Stability and Convergent Validity of Risk Preference Measures, Nature Human Behaviour (2025). DOI: 10.1038/S41562-024-02085-2.
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Citation: Exploing the Stability of Risk Preference: Meta-Aalysis Reveals Discrediences in How it’s Measred (2025, February 9) Retrieved 9 February 2025 from
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